Every year I extended the wager another year, to give the deniers of climate change a chance to put their money where their publicly-stated beliefs are. Now, after TWELVE YEARS of the wager existing, and after my telling a huge number deniers about the wager, not even one has accepted the wager.

This suggests they do not believe what they have claimed to believe. This suggests that they know Earth is warming, even as they loudly insist they reject all of the evidence that shows Earth has been warming anomalously. Clearly, what they state in public they do not believe in private.

The original wager was:

WAGER ONE: I, David Rice ("Desertphile") will wager US$1,000 on the proposition that by the end of year 2016 there will have been set another record high global average temperature as recorded by NASA GISS's GLB.Ts+dSST dataset.

Ten of the past twelve years have been warmer than the year 2006 global average temperature, while one has been cooler and one tied with yeasr 2006. If any denier out there had the guts to put money on their publicly stated position, they would have lost, and by about +0.36c.

However I also have a second and third wager that is still available. That wagers state:

WAGER TWO: I, David Rice ("Desertphile") will wager US$3,000 on the proposition that the decade of the 2010s will be warmer than the decade of the 2000s. That is, the average of the global temperature yearly average from year 2010 to 2019 will be warmer than the average of the global temperature yearly average from year 2000 to 2009, as recorded by NASA GISS's GLB.Ts+dSST dataset. The 2000s decade value stands at 14.58c

With two years left to go, the decade of the 2010s has already been warmer than the previous decade (which is the whole point of Wager Two) by about +0.18c so of course professional deniers will not accept the wager--- yet for almost thirty years professional deniers have insisted Earth was not and is not warming--- why didn't they accept my wager a decade ago? Everyone knows why, and certainly the professional deniers know why; their excuses span the spectrum of dishonesty.

WAGER THREE: I, David Rice ("Desertphile") will wager US$3,000 on the proposition that the decade of the 2020s will be warmer than the decade of the 2010s. That is, the average of the global temperature yearly average from year 2020 to 2029 will be warmer than the average of the global temperature yearly average from year 2010 to 2019, as recorded by NASA GISS's GLB.Ts+dSST dataset.